Portugal vs France Stats: The Key Insights
- Win Likelihood: France is favored with a 39.4% chance of winning according to the Opta supercomputer.
- Portugal’s Unbeaten Streak: Portugal has remained unbeaten in their last two European Championship games against France.
- Ronaldo’s Drought: Despite having more shots than any other player, Cristiano Ronaldo has yet to score at Euro 2024.
Both Portugal and France have secured their spots in the quarter-finals of Euro 2024, but neither team has been particularly convincing. Portugal owes their advancement largely to goalkeeper Diego Costa’s penalty heroics against Slovenia, while France barely edged past Belgium with the help of an own goal from Jan Vertonghen.
In the previous matchup, Ronaldo experienced a mix of despair and redemption. His extra-time penalty was saved by Jan Oblak, reducing him to tears, but he redeemed himself by scoring in the subsequent shootout.
France also struggled in their Round of 16 match, relying on a fortunate goal to advance. Despite high expectations for an exciting clash between these two football giants, their recent form suggests a tightly contested match.
Both teams have struggled to find the net. Portugal has failed to score in their last two matches, and they have never gone three consecutive games without a goal in a major tournament. Similarly, France’s three goals at Euro 2024 have come from two own goals and a Kylian Mbappé penalty. They haven’t scored from open play in their last five internationals.
Defensively, France has been solid, with an expected goals against (xGA) total of just 2.63, the lowest of any team in the quarter-finals. They have kept three clean sheets in four games, the most in the tournament. However, their attack remains a concern, as they have struggled to convert their chances.
Portugal’s coach Roberto Martínez faces a tough decision regarding Ronaldo. The 39-year-old had the most shots, shots on target, and touches in the opposition’s box in the match against Slovenia but failed to score. With 20 shots in the tournament, Ronaldo leads in attempts but has yet to find the back of the net. Martínez might consider adjusting his frontline to increase their chances of success.
Head-to-Head Record This will be the fifth meeting between Portugal and France at the European Championship. Portugal is unbeaten in the last two encounters. France won the first two meetings and went on to win the trophy both times. A victory for France could set them on a path to another title, while Portugal will aim for their second European Championship crown.
The last four teams to eliminate France at the quarter-final stage of a major tournament have gone on to win the trophy, which bodes well for Portugal if they manage to defeat Les Bleus.
Prediction France is predicted to win in Hamburg, with a 39.4% chance of victory inside 90 minutes. Portugal has a 31% chance of winning, and a draw is forecasted at 29.6%, making extra-time and penalties a real possibility. Considering potential extra-time and penalties, France has a 60.6% likelihood of reaching the semi-finals, while Portugal has a 39.4% chance.
Squads
Portugal
- Goalkeepers: Diogo Costa, José Sá, Rui Patrício
- Defenders: António Silva, Danilo Pereira, Diogo Dalot, Gonçalo Inácio, João Cancelo, Nélson Semedo, Nuno Mendes, Pepe, Rúben Dias
- Midfielders: Bruno Fernandes, João Neves, João Palhinha, Matheus Nunes, Rúben Neves, Vitinha, Bernardo Silva
- Forwards: Cristiano Ronaldo, Diogo Jota, Francisco Conceição, Gonçalo Ramos, João Félix, Pedro Neto, Rafael Leão
- Head coach: Roberto Martínez
France
- Goalkeepers: Alphonse Areola, Brice Samba, Mike Maignan
- Defenders: Benjamin Pavard, Dayot Upamecano, Ferland Mendy, Ibrahima Konaté, Jonathan Clauss, Jules Koundé, Théo Hernández, William Saliba
- Midfielders: Adrien Rabiot, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Eduardo Camavinga, N’Golo Kanté, Warren Zaïre-Emery, Youssouf Fofana, Antoine Griezmann
- Forwards: Bradley Barcola, Kingsley Coman, Kylian Mbappé, Marcus Thuram, Olivier Giroud, Ousmane Dembélé, Randal Kolo Muani
- Head coach: Didier Deschamps
The match promises to be a thrilling encounter as both teams aim to secure their place in the semi-finals.
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